North
Korean despot Kim Jong-un applauds as he leaves Pyongyang's
Kumsusan
Memorial Palace after attending a military parade in honor of
the
70th birthday of his late father, Kim Jong-il.
News, Switzerland
Pyongyang Makes a Play for Direct Ties with Americans
"Economic
reasons may have been decisive. North Korean manufacturing, exemplary a few
decades ago, is in ruins, as is its collectivized agriculture. Six million -
especially children, mothers and the elderly - are hungry. … Direct talks, security
guarantees, and diplomatic relations with their arch and class enemy, the
United States - these have been North Korea’s actual goals for forever and a
day."
South Koreans protest China's practice of returning North Koreans who escape to Chinese territory back to North Korea by burning North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un in effigy, March 8.
In both Washington and
Pyongyang, it was confirmed: After a long diplomatic ice age, talks between
North Korea and the U.S. have yielded initial results. Policy makers and experts
are optimistic, with some calling it a “breakthrough." But caution is advised.
North Korea is temporarily
suspending uranium enrichment at its nuclear plant in Yongbyon, in addition to a
halt of atomic bomb and long-range missile tests. Furthermore, International
Atomic Energy Commission (IAEA) inspectors are to be readmitted to the country to
monitor the moratorium. In return, the United States intends to deliver 240,000
tons of food for millions of starving North Koreans. The American government
has also offered talks on lifting financial and economic sanctions.
After a nearly three-year
diplomatic stalemate, what was achieved by the negotiating parties in Beijing appears
to have led to a “breakthrough." But the agreement that was reached seems more
like "déjà-vu." Because since the beginning of talks in 1994, and the start of Six-Party
Talks in 2003 in Beijing, (comprising North and South Korea, China, Japan, Russia,
and the United States), there have been repeated “breakthroughs" on the North
Korea nuclear program. And every time, North Korea has promised everything and
delivered on little or nothing.
Posted
by WORLDMEETS.US
Six years ago, Pyongyang even
dropped a "bombshell": it had detonated its first small atomic bomb
- if indeed it was a bomb. Two years ago, after North Korea unilaterally walked
out of the Six-Party talks, a second device was detonated. "Dear Leader" Kim
Jong-il, who died last December, was a master of diplomacy. He had set the tone
for talks since the 1994 death of his father, the country’s founder and
“Eternal President" Kim Il-sung. In the year 2000, he managed to convince South
Korean President Kim Dae-jung to travel to North Korea, where the South Korean
leader, despite bringing along half a billion dollars, sought in vain to realize
his "Sunshine Policy."
Until the end, Kim Jong-il
was a skilled negotiator. His winning trump card was always the North's nuclear
program. He is even said to have designed the current moratorium shortly before
his death. His youngest son and successor, “Young General" Kim Jong-un, who is
just shy of 30 years old, is now apparently following in the footsteps of his
father and grandfather. The outcome of the talks is at least an indication of
continuity, in a positive, but also in a negative sense.
The initial reactions were
positive, of course. A North Korean spokesperson spoke of mutual interests, preserving
peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, improving bilateral relations, and
denuclearization through dialogue and negotiation. The American side, rendered
wise by years of experience, was more skeptical. Despite “profound concerns," a spokeswoman for
the U.S. government said “important, if limited, progress" has been
achieved. Naturally, the Chinese Foreign Ministry welcomed the deal. The South
Korean response, on the other hand, was more restrained, as President Lee Myung-bak,
after the failure of his predecessor’s "Sunshine Policy," has for the
past four years taken a hard line toward the North. Finally, Japan simply
called for words to be followed by “deeds."
Why now? Economic reasons may
have been decisive. North Korean manufacturing, exemplary a few decades ago, is
in ruins, as is its collectivized agriculture. North Korea’s population (23
million) suffers from food shortages. Six million - especially
children, mothers and the elderly - are hungry. The country has
never fully recovered from the great famine that caused between one and two
million deaths during the second half of the 1990s. As a result, North Korea is still on an IV
drip of international aid.
In addition, April 15th marks
the 100th birthday of Kim Il-sung, demigod and supreme father of the nation. For
the centennial celebration, the government, now led by grandson Kim Jong-un, has
promised prosperity and progress. The American food aid will come right on cue.
Direct talks, security
guarantees, and diplomatic relations with their arch and class enemy, the
United States - these have been North Korea’s actual goals for forever and a
day. First under Kim Jong-il and now under his son Kim Jong-un.