Fear of Turkey
Drives Iran to Mount New Gaza Flotilla
Is Tehran considering sending an
aid flotilla to Gaza because it fears Turkey's influence and feels it has to top
Ankara? According to this article by Muwaffaq Matar of Alhayat Aljadeeda, a newspaper in the
West Bank, Iran's game of one-upmanship is destined to come at the expense of
Palestinian lives in Gaza.
Will Tehran provide the spark
for the next war in the region? If it sends one or more ships to Gaza under the
protection of the Revolutionary Guards, then an unstable situation will become
the calm before a volcanic eruption.
Despite knowing the hornet’s
nest it will unleash on itself if it engages on a military front of unknowable
dimensions, Tehran's leaders see this as an opportunity to harass the major
powers in the region. They also calculate that further delay would be like
leaving the whole cake for the “Sunni-Ottoman Turks,” whose presence would be more
widely-accepted among the majority of the public that that of the “Shiite
Persians.” Most find Iranian sectarianism frightening, to say nothing of the dictatorship
embodied by the “Guardianship
of the Islamic Jurists.”
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In fact, we see with our own
eyes the reality - with all of its details and moving parts. Our hearts would like
to accept it [Iranian help], even if the
picture is less than ideal. But the reality shows that Tehran is simply trying
to maintain the cycle of conflict that existed since Hamas leaders gave it the
keys to its Gaza “base” - long before the flotilla of Erdogan Turkey moved in.
Tehran secured its base in southern
Lebanon through absolute control over its natural Shiite ally (Hezbullah). Now
its worried about losing “Base Hamas" - for which it paid hundreds of
millions of dollars. Tehran won't allow the food cooked over the fire of Operation Cast Lead to end up in the bellies of Ottoman Turkey - and bring the Turks good
cheer.
Therefore, Iran is meddling
based on the principle of “It’s me or no one,” wanting to ruin the plans of
everyone else, particularly Erdogan's Turkey. Iran may also be adopting the
arrogant stance, “We play together or I'll ruin the game,” because it can - it
is a regional player that cannot be ignored.
We believe Iran has
calculated that the leadership of Hamas has deceived it and is ready to hand
the keys to Gaza over to the Turkish Masters of the Sublime
Gate - which would be acceptable to Hamas, because its openly warm relations
with Iran makes Salafist groups that support Hamas with essential
donations uneasy. These Sunni groups consider Tehran an ideological rival and are
unlikely to support Hamas putting all of its eggs in one basket.
Iran will enter the game under
the banner of lifting the siege in order to burn Hamas' sails - just as soon as
its sure that it has been deceived by the Hamas leadership.
Tehran will spark a war in
the region. Ahmadinejad thinks his troops are ready for it, and those who imposed
sanctions at the Security Council are either unwilling or afraid to engage in a
new war alongside those in Iraq Afghanistan. Ahmadinejad will be applying the
famous rule, “attack is the best means of defense.”
Israel failed to
inform its best strategic ally and Islamic friend in the region [Turkey] when
its commando units attacked the Mavi
Marmara, killing nine and wounding dozens - an act for which so far it
has refused to apologize. How will Israel handle an Iranian ship protected by naval
vessels of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards - or with a military confrontation
on the ship’s deck that creates victims that will spark a war?
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Tehran is considering a
punishment for Hamas, it is planning to make sure it keeps a share of its
southern base (in Gaza), and will perhaps shake things up in such a way as to make
it difficult to implement U.N. sanctions.
But Iranian leaders and
politicians who seek unfettered access to nuclear power should know that it
will be the sons of our Palestinian people in Gaza who'll be the losers in this
bidding war between regional powers. It is a war that opened with Hamas at the
expense of the Palestinian cause and the fate of half a million Palestinians in
the Gaza Strip! They [Iranian leaders] will be partners in the industry of death,
tragedy and suffering imposed on our people.
