[International Herald
Tribune, France]
Berliner Zeitung, Germany
Obama's Hope is All Afghanistan Has Left
"Obama's
plan is nothing more than a hope. Furthermore, it's a hope that is aligned with
his desire to be reelected. But hope is all that's left in the Afghan
quagmire."
By Damir Fras
Translated By
Stephanie Martin
December 4, 2009
Germany
- Berliner Zeitung - Original Article (German)
Now U.S. President Barack
Obama is being accused of having failed to explain the purpose of the war in
Afghanistan. Of course George W. Bush, in that disagreeable manner of his,
would in fact have done so. He would have ranted on about democratization;
about a few more girls being able to go to school; about a few more women who
would have been better off than before; et cetera, et cetera - in a tone
similar to the one often struck by former German Defense Minister Franz Josef Jung when
he spoke of Afghanistan. But Obama is much more sympathetic and realistic for
not doing so.
In his speech to cadets at
the U.S. Military Academy at West Point, Obama didn't explain the purpose of
the war. He did, however, suggest that there would be an end to it. As early as
2011, the first American troops are scheduled to return home from Afghanistan.
In order to make this possible, Obama is first sending another 30,000 troops to
Afghanistan - into a war that cannot be won militarily, but that might at least
be brought to an end with more military.
This is nothing more than a
hope. Furthermore, it's a hope that is aligned with Obama's desire to be
reelected. But hope is all that's left in an Afghan quagmire that has lasted
for eight years. All other things being equal, why shouldn't what worked in Iraq
in 2007 work in Afghanistan? Obama's plan, to turn responsibility for the
country's security over to the Afghan government in a step-by-step fashion after
massive military pressure and massive increases in civilian aid, might work. “May”
doesn't mean “will,” but at this point, that's simply all there is.
In Afghanistan, they tell one
another: Americans have watches, but the Taliban have time. That may be true. But
that's exactly why setting a date for international withdrawal does no
additional harm. Either the Taliban and other insurgents have by that point
been weakened to such a degree that that they no longer pose a threat - or not.
Having received offers of money and a share in power, either enough insurgents will
have by then switched sides and allied themselves with the Afghan government -
or not. There's no guarantee that one or the other will come to pass.
But there are ways
to positively influence developments. Options that also present themselves to
Germany's federal government … that is, if like Obama, the government feels that
Afghanistan concerns us all. This doesn't necessarily require military
contributions alone. Rather than developing the country, the 4,500 Bundeswehr [Germany Army] troops that are currently stationed
in northern Afghanistan have been more preoccupied with protecting themselves
and dealing with an air strike on two fuel trucks in Kundus which claimed
a large numbers of civilian victims. If an
additional 2,000 German troops were deployed, that wouldn't change much. One
could of course send them to fight in the south or east of the country. But
first of all, the Americans do a better job with this, and second, the federal
government is reluctant to take such a decision. Although logical from a
military point of view, it would be a hard sell in Germany.
Posted by WORLDMEETS.US
What's left, for instance, is
aid to the civilian sector for training the Afghan police. This is where
Germany, of all countries involved, has the most catching up to do. If the word
“failure” needed a superlative, we could quickly find the appropriate phrase. It
would be: police training in German hands. When Germany as a “lead nation” was
still responsible for the issue, we didn't manage to send more than a few dozen
police trainers to Afghanistan. Now that Germany has joined an E.U.-wide project,
things don't look much better.
For years, the federal
government has been hiding behind the fact that state governments have
jurisdiction over the police. Since Otto Schily, every interior minister has
neglected to adequately recruit people for police training in Afghanistan.
At the same time, the debacle
might still be averted. For years now, experts have been calling for the
deployment of hundreds if not thousands of military police to Afghanistan. This
cross between a soldier and a policeman is best suiting for building up a force
in Afghanistan similar to the French Gendarmerie or the Italian Carabinieri. The
Afghans need a force of this kind to maintain at least a modicum of security in
their own country.
With this type of
contribution, the federal government could actually be an asset to the Obama plan.
But the debate in Germany on this issue is barely audible. The federal
government continues to postpone decisions. However, muddling through was never
the right course of action - even in situations when all you have left is hope.
SEE ALSO ON THIS:
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Le Monde, France:
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The Telegraph, U.K.:
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Gazeta, Russia:
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The Frontier Post, Pakistan:
Americans Will Pay Dearly For 'Flirting' with Afghan War
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It's Obama's Afghanistan Now
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Posted by WORLDMEETS.US, Dec. 6, 4:10pm