has broken through the mental barrier to launching a pre-emptive strike on Iran's
nuclear reactors. … and the
decision for regime change in Syria, which was part of Bush's plans for a 'New
Middle East' dating back to the period after the Iraq occupation, is now coming to fruition. Last time the scheme was
foiled by the Iraqi resistance."
How similar today is to yesterday.
History is repeating itself. We are now living in an atmosphere like that before
the Iraq War, but the goal is now a dual one. I refer to Syria and Iran.
This may all be conjecture,
but it seems that Israel has broken through the mental barrier to
launching a pre-emptive strike on Iran's nuclear reactors. And it was already halfway
there after Americans and Europeans issued such inflammatory statements backing the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq.
As for Syria, the atmosphere is the same at that which existed on the eve of the Iraqi
invasion. As far as Arab nations are concerned - at least some of them - the
way has been paved for the internationalization and escalation of the crisis. They are
prepared to hand Syria over to the NATO Alliance. This is a sure sign that the
decision for regime change in Syria, which was part of Bush's plans for a "New
Middle East" dating back to the period after the Iraq occupation, is now coming to fruition. Last time the scheme was
foiled by the Iraqi resistance.
It seems to those of us
observing the situation, that the only difference between the Iraq
and Syria scenarios is that NATO today, given the exhaustion of financial resources consumed in
the Iraq and Afghanistan wars, is unable to mount a ground invasion. This is even
more acute given the financial crisis and recession in the U.S. and Europe.
If the Iraqi opposition was
nurtured in America's lap, it returned only to find the occupation tanks and armies.
The Syrian opposition was also nourished in America's lap - not to mention Turkey's.
Turkey sees a looming chance to repeat the Erdogan experiment and establish Islamic rule in Damascus.
I would like to repeat that
of these are all forecasts unsupported by hard data. These are merely expectations
arising from an atmosphere saturated with the smell of gunpowder and from statements
by Europeans that suggest there are plans afoot to win Arab approval of
intervention, especially after the Arab League's
decision to suspend Damascus.
After a press conference by Syrian
Foreign Minister Walid
Muallem, I understood that Syria is seeking to calm the situation and limit
any repercussions from the Arab League's allegations [that the Syrian regime is killing peaceful protesters]. But more than quiet
diplomacy is needed from Damascus - and by that I mean it needs to take
difficult, firm and immediate decisions to remove the fuse before the bomb
explodes. The region is now prepared for the worst.