"In
the United States, hope and optimism are more than just political side dishes.
They are the internal engine and power source of the nation. … Lincoln,
Roosevelt, Kennedy: Hope is the magic potion
administered to the nation at its darkest moments."
It
can be nocoincidence
that the two victors in the U.S. state of Iowa had the same message: “CHANGE”
transformation, alteration. Like a thunderbolt the word is now being heard
across the land. Right at the beginning of this long presidential election
campaign, Democrats and Republicans alike have voted for those candidates who
most embody a new beginning.
Among
the Democrats, that candidate is BarackObama, the young and promising man with an incredible
biography, great charisma and an intuition about the desires and longings of
the people. Not that his policies or promises differ all that much from
"Iowa-loser" Hillary Clinton.
But
in the United States, hope and optimism are more than just political side
dishes. They are the internal dynamo and power source of the nation. Americans
revere those presidents who manage to get this dynamo in gear. Lincoln,
Roosevelt, Kennedy: Hope is the magic potion administered to the nation at its
darkest moments. And as many people throughout the country perceive it, these
are tough times. What would otherwise be considered pathos and kitschy is now
being gratefully accepted. With her sober and matter-of-fact ways, a
presidential candidate like Angela Merkel wouldn't stand a chance in the United
States - and Hillary Clinton must now fight for hers.
Experience
doesn't count for much in times like these - that's the second lesson of Iowa.
Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld and Colin Powell had
huge amounts of experience when they formed George Bush's alleged Dream-Team.
It all ended in Iraq’s desert sands, where the superpower remains stuck to this
day. Neither has experience saved Hillary Clinton from error - she voted to
authorize war in the Senate. Long before, green
hornObama correctly warned about the
consequences of that fatal decision. Yet Hillary Clinton centered her election
campaign around experience. That was always a
workaround, because it not only concerns her experience, but the political
achievements of Bill Clinton. This will certainly influence Democrats
substantially, but in the process, Hillary has turned herself into a candidate
of the past. In Iowa, the party didn't want to follow her back to the 1990s.
For
Hillary Clinton, it will undoubtedly be a bitter irony if the deep-seated
desire for a new beginning at the end of the Bush era now damages her election
chances. After her third placing in Iowa, the aura of inevitability of her
presidential candidacy has vanished. If she wants to turn the tide, Clinton
will have to base her candidacy for the White House on new grounds.
The
conservative variant of hope looks significantly different to that of the
Democrats. Mike Huckabee, a resource-poor nobody from
the provinces has shocked the Republican Party establishment. Unlike Obama, this pious man from Arkansas not only questions the
established hierarchy, but the very ideological foundation of the party in
question. In order to become a majority, the conservatives brought religion
into their camp. Now Huckabee wants the waiters to be
the cooks. Of those who turn to God and go to church on Sunday, he wants
establish a conservative middle-class coalition.
One doubts whether the Republicans have a future as an American Christian
Social Union , but it's not
impossible that Huckabee could win the Republican
race, because none of the other candidates has emerged as the glue to hold the
shriveled party and its feuding factions together. The only thing refreshing
and new about second placed Mitt Romney was that if anything, the millions he
spent only promoted his campaign debacle.
If
the call for change now captures even the Republicans, with or without Huckabee, it will amount to a resounding rejection of
George W. Bush. If the message of Iowa continues, the president's own party is
likely to desert him during his last year in office. It doesn’t have to be that
way, but American conservatives have more than enough cause to reconsider their
future. In Iowa, twice as many Democrats as Republicans attended the caucuses.
But for now, hope and optimism are the domain of their
political opponents.