Russian
President Dmitry Medvedev at the NATO Summit in
Lisbon:
Has he gotten everything he wanted from NATO?
Yezhednevniy
Zhurnal, Russia
Russia Offers to Defend NATO. ... Or So it Seems
"This
is precisely the manner in which Moscow will secure full equality in decision
making. It must be said that, at first, this revolutionary proposal plunged
experts into a state of confusion. Practically speaking, the responsibility for
defending Europe will be entirely up to Moscow. … This way, Russian leaders
have kept open every opportunity to return to verbal confrontation."
As one might have predicted,
the Russia-NATO Summit went off without a hitch. The Atlantic Alliance said in
its new Strategic
Concept that NATO - who would ever have imagined it? - is not a threat to
Russia. Thus, only a small detail remains: convince the authors of Russia's
military doctrine, which calls “the expansion of NATO” the central military
threat [to Russia]. Aside from that, the sides
agreed to expand Afghan transit [supplying NATO in Afghanistan through Russian
territory].
And finally, the big
sensation: the Alliance invited Moscow to participate in its East European
missile defense system. [President] Medvedev not only rejected the proposal, but
he familiarized his colleagues with his own vision. And in the course of his
press conference [see below], the president said something mysterious: Moscow
is offering its partners the creation of a “sectoral” missile defense system. Within
this context, it follows that this is precisely the manner in which Moscow will
secure full equality in decision making. It must be said that, at first, this
revolutionary proposal plunged experts into a state of confusion.
But thank God the
Russian delegation contained Dmitry
Olegovich Rogozin, who once again acted as presidential interpreter.
He told the correspondent from Moskovsky Komsomoletsthat the sides
must agree on dividing up zones of responsibility: “Roughly speaking, if a
rocket flying in the direction of the U.S. is passing over our territory, we
are the ones to bring it down. If a rocket is flying toward Russia through the U.S.
zone of responsibility, the Americans shoot it down. But at the same time, the
Russian Federation will continue to retain control over its missile defense,
and NATO - over its own.” Apparently, this same Rogozin, but this time acting
as an unnamed high-ranking diplomat, explained to Kommersant: “All of
the tools: sensors, radars, rocket interceptors - will be oriented toward outer
space and not be placed along the border areas between the Russian Federation
and the Alliance. If this is achieved, we'll have the security of knowing that European
missile defense isn't encroaching on Russia's strategic nuclear forces.”
If this is so, then Moscow is
in fact proposing that NATO abandon its missile defense shield. Just look at
the map to see the obvious. Rockets from Iran or Syria - countries that possess
missile technology, will fly to Europe via Russia. But if the radars, sensors
and interceptors are oriented toward the “outer space” of this united missile
defense system, they will have practically no chance of keeping an eye on the
most “rocket-dangerous” regions. NATO radars and interceptors will be aimed at
nothing. The North Atlantic Alliance will no longer have need of a missile
defense shield.
Practically speaking, the
responsibility for defending Europe will be entirely up to Moscow. I must say
that this is a bold decision. But the fact is that the United States already has
the capacity to intercept ballistic missiles. These are its Aegis and SM-3 missile
naval-deployed systems. In Russia, they say the S-400 system has such a
capacity. However, it's known that there are only two such divisions deployed in
Russia, both around Moscow. In spite of repeated promises to put the S-400 into
mass production, the industry today is in no such position. Experts, including retired
Air Force Commander Anatoly
Kornukov, have said more than once that a single zone for Russian and
European missile defense doesn't exist. And the missile defense system that
protects Moscow is based on the capacity to make nuclear strikes in space,
which is hardly acceptable to NATO.
Posted
by WORLDMEETS.US
But Medvedev isn't simply
proposing an option that is as crude as it is difficult to implement. He is actually
demanding that NATO accept Russian conditions: “Either we participate fully,
exchange information, and are responsible for solving specific problems, or we
do not participate at all. But if we do not participate at all, then, for
understandable reasons, we will be forced to defend ourselves.”
This way, Russian leaders have
kept open every opportunity to return to verbal confrontation.