A sight almost unimaginable just years ago: A shopkeeper in Yongon,
Burma's old capitol, stands among a riot of American flags, just
days
before the first ever visit by an American president, Nov. 16.
Americans Eye
Myanmar as 'Key Future Ally' (The Nation, Thailand)
"Make no
mistake: his visit is part of a long-term strategy by U.S. decision-makers, who
view this nation, which was recently the most condemned in the world, as a key
future ally. ... With Obama's visit, Myanmar's future will be more or less tied
to America's global strategic outlook. ... On the mainland and the archipelagic countries of South, East and
Southeast Asia, China is now surrounded by countries friendly or accessible to
the United States."
One of the faces of Burma's brutal yet apparently softening military dictatorship, Deputy Defense Minister Brigadier General Aung Thaw: The world may be witnessing a dramatic shift in Asian geoplitics as President Barack Obama become the first U.S. leader to visit the country and put it into Washington's column.
Even though the visit to Myanmar this week by a newly-reelected
President Barack Obama will be brief, it will have a series of significant
consequences for Myanmar and the region. Make no mistake: his visit is part of
a long-term strategy by U.S. decision-makers, who view this nation, which was
recently the most condemned in the world, as a key future ally.
America knows, now that the TheinSein government has demonstrated a willingness to engage
with the West and especially the U.S., that this is the best time to approach
Myanmar. The latest supposed amnesty for political prisoners is one of Washington's
demands in return for Obama's high-profile visit. And this is just the latest key
request by the U.S. and other Western countries that Myanmar has been
delivering on, which also include widening its democratic space, working on
national reconciliation, promoting a freer media and free assembly, as well as providing
international access to prisoners and other facilities.
The United States wants to ensure that Myanmar remains on
the path of reform, enabling it to make more legitimate and independent
decisions. For the past few years, Naypyidaw
has indicated a desire to distance itself from China, for decades its main
provider of aid and other forms of assistance.
Washington quickly jumped in, and over the past two years
has turned the situation around. With Obama's visit, Myanmar's future will be
more or less tied to America's global strategic outlook. The invitation of Myanmar
to be an observer of next year's Cobra Gold military exercise was more than
symbolic. The annual Thailand-U.S. exercise has become one of the newest
platforms for forging closer military relations with America's allies and
friends.
This widening security cooperation network comes as China is
rising meteorically both economically and politically. For the first time, America
has established ties with every country along China's southern flank, which for
the six decades after World War II was a weak link in the American security
regime. On the mainland and the archipelagic countries of South, East and
Southeast Asia, China is now surrounded by countries friendly or accessible to
the United States.
Furthermore, the U.S. has also regarded close ties between
Myanmar and North Korea as a future threat. Over the past few years, since "intercepting"
a North Korean ship thought to have violated U.N. resolutions, Washington has
pressed Naypyidaw
hard to sever its ties and cooperation on nuclear technology with Pyongyang. This
is in keeping with Obama's push for global non-proliferation. During Obama's
visit, Thailand will sign on to America's Proliferation Security Initiative.
Beyond these two central objectives, President Obama will
also raise violations of human rights related to the plight of Rohingya.
He is expected to call on the TheinSein government to end their alienation and allow them to
be part of Burmese society. Obama is also expected to encourage the government seek
reconciliation with the other minorities still on the fringe and those that
have continues to fight government forces, such as those in Kachin,
Karen and Shan states.
It is clear that Obama is focused on building his political
legacy in this part of the world. Since this comes at a time in which the U.S.
faces a debt crisis domestically, strengthening its presence along combined with
sharing the burden with countries in the region is the way to go.